Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Chapulineros

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Heroes de Zaci play Chapulineros in the Liga Premier Serie A. It looks like a close match. Recently, Heroes de Zaci averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. Chapulineros averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Heroes de Zaci won 1, Chapulineros won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Heroes de Zaci and 1.94 for Chapulineros. This points to a Heroes de Zaci double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Heroes de Zaci

20%

Draws

32%

Chapulineros

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heroes de Zaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Heroes de Zaci picked up more points recently compared to Chapulineros.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Heroes de Zaci Clean Sheet 10%

Chapulineros Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Heroes de Zaci	Chapulineros
Matches Played	24	27
Wins	10	7
Draws	2	8
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.38	1.04
Goals Conceded	1.96	1.48
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Chapulineros vs Heroes de Zaci

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Oct 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Heroes de Zaci vs Chapulineros

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heroes de Zaci Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Chapulineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heroes de Zaci 45 / 100

Chapulineros 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Heroes de Zaci Chapulineros

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Heroes de Zaci or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Heroes de Zaci attacking → ← attacking Chapulineros

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heroes de Zaci scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

Chapulineros let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Heroes de Zaci went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chapulineros lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 29

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17