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Herrestads AIF vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Jakobsson O. D.
53' Event
Jakobsson O. D.
74' Event
Pettersson Pohl I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 game between Herrestads AIF and Kumla finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herrestads AIF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Herrestads AIF
39%
Draws
31%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Herrestads AIF come out ahead of Kumla on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Herrestads AIF have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Herrestads AIF Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herrestads AIF Kumla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Herrestads AIF
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Kumla
5:0
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Herrestads AIF
0:3
Aug 3, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Herrestads AIF
0:4
Mar 29, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Kumla
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herrestads AIF Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobsson O. D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pettersson Pohl I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kumla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herrestads AIF 31 / 100
Kumla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herrestads AIF Kumla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herrestads AIF found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Kumla conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Herrestads AIF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Herrestads AIF VS Kumla
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FBK Karlstad26164662:2952
2Motala26156558:3551
3Herrestads AIF26128651:2744
4Lidkoping26128638:2544
5Ahlafors261010641:3740
6Kongahalla26107957:4237
7Skara261041240:4834
8Grebbestad26951240:4732
9Vanersborgs IF26710944:5031
10Vanersborgs FK26871126:3731
11Tord26791032:3930
12Kumla26861234:5230
13IF Haga26651526:5423
14Tidaholms26471527:5419