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Stadium Background

Herrestads AIF vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Borehed P.
68' Event
Jakobsson O. D.
80' Event
Berggren S.

AI Match Summary

Herrestads AIF in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herrestads AIF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Herrestads AIF
30%
Draws
12%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Herrestads AIF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Herrestads AIF have won more games recently than Kumla.
  • Win probability leans Herrestads AIF's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Herrestads AIF have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Herrestads AIF Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herrestads AIF Kumla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Kumla
2:1
May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Herrestads AIF
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Herrestads AIF vs Kumla
5:0
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Herrestads AIF
0:3
Aug 3, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Herrestads AIF
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herrestads AIF Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobsson O. D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berggren S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Borehed P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herrestads AIF 85 / 100
Kumla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herrestads AIF Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herrestads AIF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herrestads AIF found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Kumla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Herrestads AIF stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herrestads AIF VS Kumla
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Herrestads AIF

(Home)
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
13 Sept
Lidkoping
2 : 1
Herrestads AIF
05 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 2
Karlstad II
28 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Herrestads AIF
21 Aug
Herrestads AIF
3 : 0
Vanersborgs IF
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Kumla

(Away)
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Kumla
2 : 6
Husqvarna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 23 19 3 1 54:18 60
2 Skara 23 15 5 3 48:25 50
3 IFK Skovde 23 13 5 5 39:25 44
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 23 9 6 8 42:30 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 23 8 4 11 30:39 28
9 Motala 23 6 8 9 33:32 26
10 Kumla 23 6 7 10 22:39 25
11 Lidkoping 23 6 6 11 28:42 24
12 Tord 23 3 9 11 26:42 18
13 Karlstad II 23 2 7 14 23:44 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)