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Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Olympiastadion, Berlin
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hertha Berlin host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Arminia Bielefeld have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Hertha Berlin have conceded 1.45 and scored 2.69. Past meetings favor Hertha Berlin slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 6:1. xG projections (2.50 - 1.56) back Hertha Berlin to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Hertha Berlin
35%
Draws
21%
Arminia Bielefeld
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hertha Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Hertha Berlin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hertha Berlin's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 15%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hertha Berlin Arminia Bielefeld
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.69 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha Berlin
6:1
Dec 19, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha Berlin
1:1
Dec 11, 2021 Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
2:0
May 9, 2021 Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hertha Berlin 75 / 100
Arminia Bielefeld 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hertha Berlin Arminia Bielefeld

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hertha Berlin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hertha Berlin found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Hertha Berlin remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Arminia Bielefeld has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hertha Berlin VS Arminia Bielefeld
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hertha Berlin

(Home)
11 Oct
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Greuther Furth
02 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2
Hertha Berlin
29 Sept
Hertha Zehlendorf
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
Page 1 of 6

Arminia Bielefeld

(Away)
11 Oct
Bochum
0 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 7 7 0 0 19:8 21
2 Nurnberg 7 5 2 0 20:10 17
3 Heidenheim 7 4 2 1 14:12 14
4 Magdeburg 7 4 1 2 14:9 13
5 Wolfsburg 7 3 3 1 19:12 12
6 Kaiserslautern 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
7 St. Pauli 7 2 4 1 10:8 10
8 Energie Cottbus 7 2 2 3 15:16 8
9 Arminia Bielefeld 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
10 VfL Osnabruck 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
11 Braunschweig 7 2 1 4 13:13 7
12 Bochum 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
13 Hannover 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
14 Darmstadt 7 2 1 4 8:14 7
15 Greuther Furth 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
16 Dresden 7 1 2 4 9:15 5
17 Karlsruher 7 1 2 4 6:14 5
18 Holstein Kiel 7 0 4 3 7:11 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)