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Hertha Berlin vs Greuther Furth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Olympiastadion, Berlin
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hertha Berlin host Greuther Furth in the 2. Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Hertha Berlin have averaged 2.68 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Greuther Furth's 1.55 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Hertha Berlin have won 3 to Greuther Furth's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.06 - 1.44) back Hertha Berlin to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Hertha Berlin
20%
Draws
20%
Greuther Furth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hertha Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Greuther Furth haven't matched Hertha Berlin's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hertha Berlin a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 16%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hertha Berlin Greuther Furth
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.68 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Greuther Furth
2:1
Dec 12, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Hertha Berlin
3:3
May 4, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Greuther Furth
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Hertha Berlin
2:1
Feb 11, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Hertha Berlin
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hertha Berlin 84 / 100
Greuther Furth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hertha Berlin Greuther Furth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hertha Berlin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hertha Berlin found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hertha Berlin stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Greuther Furth let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hertha Berlin VS Greuther Furth
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hertha Berlin

(Home)
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
28 Aug
Braunschweig
3 : 5
Hertha Berlin
22 Aug
Saarbrucken
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
Page 1 of 6

Greuther Furth

(Away)
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1
Magdeburg
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1
Greuther Furth
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1
Heidenheim
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4
Greuther Furth
23 Aug
Greuther Furth
1 : 2
Bochum
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)