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Hertha Berlin vs Mamelodi Sundowns

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Jensen L.
41' Event
Norawana A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hertha Berlin and Mamelodi Sundowns finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hertha Berlin
15%
Draws
42%
Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hertha Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mamelodi Sundowns carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 15%
Mamelodi Sundowns Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hertha Berlin Mamelodi Sundowns
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.55 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Hertha Berlin vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hertha Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Jensen L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Mamelodi Sundowns Compare

Top Goalscorer Norawana A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hertha Berlin 31 / 100
Mamelodi Sundowns 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hertha Berlin Mamelodi Sundowns

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hertha Berlin found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Hertha Berlin went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mamelodi Sundowns's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hertha Berlin VS Mamelodi Sundowns
2.29 Goals Scored 1.88
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hertha Berlin

(Home)
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
28 Aug
Braunschweig
3 : 5
Hertha Berlin
22 Aug
Saarbrucken
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
15 Aug
Hertha Berlin
4 : 1
Heidenheim
07 Aug
Bochum
0 : 1
Hertha Berlin
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Mamelodi Sundowns

(Away)
09 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 : 0
Siwelele
06 Sept
Golden Arrows
1 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
02 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 0
Milford
30 Aug
Golden Arrows
2 : 3
Mamelodi Sundowns
26 Aug
Mamelodi Sundowns
5 : 2
AmaZulu
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