Sport Picks
Hesperange vs Dudelange
Luxembourg
BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange 
Match Events
8'
8'
Gavioli I.
Assist: Delorge K.
30'
30'
Morabet M.
30'
30'
Sub
Kirch M. In: Neamtiu T.
Out: Kirch M.
AI Match Summary
Dudelange in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dudelange.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dudelange
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dudelange lately — more wins on the board than Hesperange.
- Dudelange are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Dudelange have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Hesperange Clean Sheet 10%
Dudelange Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hesperange | Dudelange |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 21 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Dudelange
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs Hesperange
3:1
May 3, 2025 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Dudelange
0:4
Nov 23, 2024 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs Hesperange
4:3
Apr 28, 2024 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Dudelange
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hesperange Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Dudelange Compare
Top Goalscorer Gavioli I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Neamtiu T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hesperange 10 / 100
Dudelange 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hesperange Dudelange
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dudelange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Dudelange let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Away concern: Dudelange has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Hesperange found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).
Scoring Trends
Hesperange VS Dudelange
0.25 Goals Scored 1.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hesperange
(Home) 06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3 Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0 Hesperange
23 Aug
Hesperange
0 : 2 Hostert
16 Aug
Racing Luxembourg
5 : 0 Hesperange
09 Aug
Hesperange
2 : 7 Wiltz
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3 Ettelbruck
23 Aug
Hesperange
0 : 2 Hostert
09 Aug
Hesperange
2 : 7 Wiltz
14 Jul
Hesperange
0 : 2 Bettembourg
17 May
Hesperange
3 : 0 Victoria Rosport
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Dudelange
(Away) 06 Sept
Dudelange
1 : 3 Racing Luxembourg
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Dudelange
23 Aug
Dudelange
3 : 2 Rumelange
16 Aug
Mondorf
1 : 0 Dudelange
09 Aug
Dudelange
0 : 2 UNA Strassen
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Dudelange
16 Aug
Mondorf
1 : 0 Dudelange
04 Aug
Bissen
2 : 0 Dudelange
26 Jul
Kaerjeng
2 : 0 Dudelange
01 Jul
Differdange
2 : 0 Dudelange
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bissen | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 70:27 | 65 |
| 2 | Differdange | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 63:22 | 65 |
| 3 | Mondorf | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 51:24 | 60 |
| 4 | UNA Strassen | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 57:26 | 58 |
| 5 | Dudelange | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:38 | 58 |
| 6 | Jeunesse Esch | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 40 |
| 7 | Racing Luxembourg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 48:50 | 40 |
| 8 | Kaerjeng | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 43:48 | 38 |
| 9 | Hostert | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 35:56 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria Rosport | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 33:50 | 35 |
| 11 | Progres Niedercorn | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 44:47 | 34 |
| 12 | Hesperange | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 31:46 | 32 |
| 13 | Jeunesse Canach | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 29:44 | 31 |
| 14 | FC Mamer | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 33:59 | 29 |
| 15 | Union Titus Petange | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26:49 | 25 |
| 16 | FC Rodange 91 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 28:65 | 25 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2025/2026 (Relegation)
