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Hesperange vs FC Residence Walferdange - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange
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Match Events

38' Event
Macedo P.
Assist: Mendes D.
43' Event
Macedo P.
Assist: Costa T.
89' Event
Long IV L.
Assist: Mujinga N.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue game between Hesperange and FC Residence Walferdange finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Residence Walferdange.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hesperange
15%
Draws
85%
FC Residence Walferdange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Residence Walferdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Hesperange haven't matched FC Residence Walferdange's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Residence Walferdange's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hesperange Clean Sheet 10%
FC Residence Walferdange Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hesperange FC Residence Walferdange
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 0
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.79 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs FC Residence Walferdange
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hesperange Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

FC Residence Walferdange Compare

Top Goalscorer Macedo P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Long IV L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hesperange 10 / 100
FC Residence Walferdange 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hesperange FC Residence Walferdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Residence Walferdange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Residence Walferdange let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Hesperange's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Away concern: FC Residence Walferdange has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hesperange VS FC Residence Walferdange
0.38 Goals Scored 2
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hesperange

(Home)
20 Sept
Echternach
2 : 1
Hesperange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
FC Residence Walferdange
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
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FC Residence Walferdange

(Away)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
FC Residence Walferdange
06 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 8 8 0 0 17:2 24
2 Differdange 8 7 0 1 19:5 21
3 Mondorf 8 6 0 2 16:11 18
4 Racing Luxembourg 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
5 Progres Niedercorn 8 5 1 2 13:5 16
6 Kaerjeng 8 5 0 3 23:15 15
7 Bissen 8 5 0 3 18:11 15
8 FC Residence Walferdange 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
9 Hostert 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Jeunesse Esch 8 2 1 5 14:17 7
11 Dudelange 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
12 Rumelange 8 2 0 6 8:23 6
13 Victoria Rosport 8 1 2 5 11:20 5
14 Ettelbruck 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
15 Wiltz 8 1 1 6 14:22 4
16 Hesperange 8 0 0 8 2:30 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)