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Hesperange vs Wiltz

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Romeyns B.
Assist: Cavelier M.
27' Event
Franco L.
Assist: Romeyns B.
31' Event
Romeyns B.
Assist: Philipps C.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue game between Hesperange and Wiltz finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wiltz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hesperange
15%
Draws
85%
Wiltz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wiltz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wiltz come out ahead of Hesperange on wins alone.
  • Wiltz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hesperange Clean Sheet 10%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hesperange Wiltz
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Wiltz
2:7
Apr 6, 2025 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Wiltz
3:1
Sep 29, 2024 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Hesperange
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Hesperange
4:5
Sep 3, 2023 BGL Ligue
Hesperange vs Wiltz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hesperange Compare

Top Goalscorer Bochu N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouazzati Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Wiltz Compare

Top Goalscorer Romeyns B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Franco L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hesperange 10 / 100
Wiltz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hesperange Wiltz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wiltz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wiltz let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Wiltz lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Hesperange scored in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hesperange VS Wiltz
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hesperange

(Home)
06 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
Ettelbruck
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
23 Aug
Hesperange
0 : 2
Hostert
16 Aug
Racing Luxembourg
5 : 0
Hesperange
09 Aug
Hesperange
2 : 7
Wiltz
Page 1 of 7

Wiltz

(Away)
06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1
Wiltz
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
23 Aug
Victoria Rosport
4 : 0
Wiltz
15 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Differdange
09 Aug
Hesperange
2 : 7
Wiltz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 6 6 0 0 13:1 18
2 Mondorf 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
3 Differdange 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
4 Racing Luxembourg 6 4 1 1 16:7 13
5 Progres Niedercorn 6 4 0 2 11:4 12
6 Hostert 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
7 FC Residence Walferdange 6 3 0 3 11:9 9
8 Kaerjeng 6 3 0 3 14:13 9
9 Bissen 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
10 Jeunesse Esch 6 2 0 4 12:11 6
11 Dudelange 6 2 0 4 6:11 6
12 Rumelange 6 2 0 4 8:15 6
13 Victoria Rosport 6 1 1 4 10:14 4
14 Wiltz 6 1 1 4 11:16 4
15 Ettelbruck 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
16 Hesperange 6 0 0 6 2:24 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)