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Hestrafors vs Onsala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Parker S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Västra Götaland game between Hestrafors and Onsala finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Onsala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hestrafors
15%
Draws
48%
Onsala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Onsala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hestrafors come out ahead of Onsala on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hestrafors's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Västra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Onsala have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hestrafors Clean Sheet 16%
Onsala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hestrafors Onsala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hestrafors vs Onsala
0:1
May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Hestrafors
5:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Onsala vs Hestrafors
0:1
May 23, 2025 Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Hestrafors vs Onsala
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hestrafors Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Onsala Compare

Top Goalscorer Parker S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hestrafors 36 / 100
Onsala 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hestrafors Onsala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hestrafors scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Onsala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hestrafors stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hestrafors VS Onsala
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hestrafors

(Home)
02 Oct
Hestrafors
0 : 1
Onsala
26 Sept
Jonsereds
1 : 1
Hestrafors
19 Sept
Hestrafors
1 : 3
Kongahalla
11 Sept
Boljan
1 : 3
Hestrafors
06 Sept
Hestrafors
2 : 0
Lindome
Page 1 of 6

Onsala

(Away)
02 Oct
Hestrafors
0 : 1
Onsala
27 Sept
Onsala
1 : 2
Qviding
19 Sept
BK Astrio
0 : 2
Onsala
12 Sept
Onsala
2 : 0
Galtabacks
05 Sept
Frolunda
3 : 1
Onsala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Landvetter 24 17 3 4 42:19 54
2 Dalstorps 24 13 7 4 47:26 46
3 Jonsereds 24 12 6 6 40:37 42
4 Hestrafors 24 12 5 7 48:39 41
5 Lindome 24 11 4 9 46:40 37
6 Frolunda 24 10 7 7 45:39 37
7 Boljan 24 9 7 8 36:32 34
8 Qviding 24 10 4 10 44:44 34
9 Onsala 24 8 6 10 33:37 30
10 Torslanda 24 7 7 10 39:42 28
11 Kongahalla 24 7 6 11 35:45 27
12 Astorps 24 7 5 12 29:41 26
13 Galtabacks 24 5 5 14 38:46 20
14 BK Astrio 24 2 4 18 22:57 10
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Västra Götaland (Relegation)