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Hetman Zamosc vs Moravia Morawica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Skiba D.
59'
Rybus M.
77' Event
Zadlo M.

AI Match Summary

Hetman Zamosc in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hetman Zamosc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hetman Zamosc
35%
Draws
18%
Moravia Morawica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hetman Zamosc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hetman Zamosc lately — more wins on the board than Moravia Morawica.
  • Model gives Hetman Zamosc a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 15%
Moravia Morawica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hetman Zamosc Moravia Morawica
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Moravia Morawica
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Top Goalscorer Skiba D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lepiarz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Moravia Morawica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zadlo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hetman Zamosc 39 / 100
Moravia Morawica 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hetman Zamosc Moravia Morawica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hetman Zamosc Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moravia Morawica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hetman Zamosc scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Hetman Zamosc went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hetman Zamosc VS Moravia Morawica
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hetman Zamosc

(Home)
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6

Moravia Morawica

(Away)
10 Oct
Moravia Morawica
0 : 0
Wisloka Debica
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2
Moravia Morawica
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2
Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)