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HFX Wanderers vs Ottawa Fury

Canada Canada

Championship 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Schmidel T.
Assist: Mannella Ch.
31'
Irving C.
32' Event
Perea L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2019 game between HFX Wanderers and Ottawa Fury finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ottawa Fury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
HFX Wanderers
22%
Draws
18%
Ottawa Fury
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: HFX Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ottawa Fury come out ahead of HFX Wanderers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans HFX Wanderers's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Ottawa Fury Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HFX Wanderers Ottawa Fury
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2019 Championship
Ottawa Fury vs HFX Wanderers
2:2
Jul 10, 2019 Championship
HFX Wanderers vs Ottawa Fury
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HFX Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ottawa Fury Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidel T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tissot M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HFX Wanderers 58 / 100
Ottawa Fury 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HFX Wanderers Ottawa Fury

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ottawa Fury conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

HFX Wanderers found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: HFX Wanderers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HFX Wanderers VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Toronto FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
HFX Wanderers3
Vaughan3
TBD-
Valour-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ottawa Fury-
Inter Toronto1
Blainville0
TBD-
Edmonton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
CF Montreal-
Cavalry4
Pacific FC1
TBD-
Forge FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps-
1/8-finals
Toronto FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
HFX Wanderers4
Valour1
TBD-
Ottawa Fury-
Inter Toronto3
Edmonton2
TBD-
CF Montreal-
Cavalry3
Forge FC2
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps-
Quarter-finals
Toronto FC-
TBD-
HFX Wanderers4
Ottawa Fury5
Inter Toronto2
CF Montreal3
Cavalry2
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Semi-finals
Toronto FC5
Ottawa Fury0
CF Montreal3
Cavalry1
Final
Toronto FC1
CF Montreal2