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HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Wanderers Grounds
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Callegari L.
60'
Sub
Campbell T. In: Mousset L.
Out: Campbell T.
67'
Sub
Akinwale V. In: Kachwele C.
Out: Akinwale V.

AI Match Summary

HFX Wanderers host Vancouver FC in the Canadian Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: HFX Wanderers at 1 goals for, 1.75 against; Vancouver FC at 1.63 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor HFX Wanderers slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring HFX Wanderers. HFX Wanderers in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
HFX Wanderers
44%
Draws
20%
Vancouver FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Vancouver FC demonstrates higher offensive output (1.63 avg goals) than HFX Wanderers (1 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Canadian Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
HFX Wanderers Clean Sheet 13%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HFX Wanderers Vancouver FC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers
3:1
Aug 4, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HFX Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciccarelli T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vancouver FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HFX Wanderers 35 / 100
Vancouver FC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HFX Wanderers Vancouver FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HFX Wanderers scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Vancouver FC let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

HFX Wanderers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vancouver FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HFX Wanderers VS Vancouver FC
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forge FC12101120:731
2Cavalry1182122:526
3Atletico Ottawa1252518:2217
4HFX Wanderers1343617:2015
5Vancouver FC1242615:1414
6Inter Toronto1033413:2112
7Supra du Quebec1032514:1611
8Pacific FC1203913:273