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Hibernian vs Aberdeen Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Easter Road, Edinburgh
Hibernian Logo

Hibernian

1 - 1
FT
Aberdeen Logo

Aberdeen

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Nisbet K.
Assist: Molloy G.
35'
Nisbet K.
59'
Milne J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Hibernian and Aberdeen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hibernian
30%
Draws
47%
Aberdeen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Aberdeen have managed 1.32 goals a game lately — Hibernian are scoring more at 1.52.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hibernian taking it.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 20%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernian Aberdeen
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs Aberdeen
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Hibernian
2:0
Dec 30, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs Aberdeen
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Hibernian
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Hibernian
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibernian Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Nisbet K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernian 36 / 100
Aberdeen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernian Aberdeen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hibernian scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Aberdeen conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Hibernian has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hibernian VS Aberdeen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernian

(Home)
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 7

Aberdeen

(Away)
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)