Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hibernian vs Celtic

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Easter Road, Edinburgh
Hibernian Logo

Hibernian

1 - 2
FT
Celtic Logo

Celtic

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
McGrath J.
41' Event
Maeda D.
Assist: Johnston A.
45' Event
Newell J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiership 2025/2026 game between Hibernian and Celtic finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hibernian
30%
Draws
28%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hibernian

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / High Confidence
  • Celtic carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hibernian's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 13%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernian Celtic
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs Celtic
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Hibernian
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs Celtic
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Hibernian
0:0
May 10, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Hibernian
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibernian Compare

Top Goalscorer Newell J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeda D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iheanacho K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernian 48 / 100
Celtic 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernian Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celtic let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hibernian scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hibernian stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hibernian VS Celtic
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernian

(Home)
02 Aug
Hibernian
1 : 2
Motherwell
30 Jul
Hibernian
4 : 1
Malisheva
23 Jul
Malisheva
2 : 0
Hibernian
18 Jul
Hibernian
2 : 1
Brondby
04 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 5
Hibernian
Page 1 of 6

Celtic

(Away)
03 Aug
Celtic
1 : 0
Dundee FC
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2
AC Milan
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1
Celtic
07 Jul
Shelbourne
1 : 1
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 38 26 4 8 73:41 82
2 Hearts 38 24 8 6 67:34 80
3 Rangers 38 20 12 6 76:43 72
4 Motherwell 38 16 13 9 59:36 61
5 Hibernian 38 15 12 11 58:44 57
6 Falkirk 38 14 7 17 50:62 49
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)