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Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Easter Road, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Megwa K. In: Hanley G.
Out: Megwa K.
31'
John-Jules T.
40' Event
Stanger G.

AI Match Summary

Kilmarnock in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kilmarnock.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hibernian
30%
Draws
39%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kilmarnock

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Hibernian haven't matched Kilmarnock's recent run of results.
  • Hibernian are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hibernian Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernian Kilmarnock
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Premiership
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock
3:0
Jan 3, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Hibernian
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 Premiership
Hibernian vs Kilmarnock
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Hibernian
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibernian Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kilmarnock Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanger G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernian 67 / 100
Kilmarnock 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernian Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hibernian Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hibernian found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Kilmarnock let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Hibernian went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hibernian VS Kilmarnock
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernian

(Home)
19 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 1
Aberdeen
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Ross County
0 : 3
Hibernian
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
03 Sept
Hibernian
1 : 3
Hearts
Page 1 of 7

Kilmarnock

(Away)
19 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 1
Hearts
15 Sept
Hibernian
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 7 6 0 1 14:4 18
2 Rangers 7 5 1 1 8:4 16
3 Hearts 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
4 Dundee FC 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
5 St. Mirren 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 St Johnstone 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
7 Aberdeen 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
8 Dundee Utd 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
9 Motherwell 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
10 Hibernian 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
11 Falkirk 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
12 Kilmarnock 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)