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Hibernians vs Floriana Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Premier League Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Ryder Matos In: Degabriele J.
Out: Ryder Matos
35' Event
Varela F.
45' Event
Mbong P.

AI Match Summary

Floriana in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floriana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hibernians
30%
Draws
54%
Floriana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Floriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Floriana have won more games recently than Hibernians.
  • Floriana are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Floriana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hibernians Clean Sheet 16%
Floriana Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hibernians Floriana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Hibernians vs Floriana
0:4
Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Floriana vs Hibernians
4:1
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
Hibernians vs Floriana
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Floriana vs Hibernians
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Floriana vs Hibernians
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hibernians Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Floriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbong P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hibernians 11 / 100
Floriana 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hibernians Floriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floriana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hibernians scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Floriana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Hibernians stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hibernians VS Floriana
0.57 Goals Scored 1.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hibernians

(Home)
20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4
Floriana
12 Sept
Birkirkara
1 : 1
Hibernians
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2
Valletta
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1
Zabbar
21 Aug
Marsaxlokk
1 : 0
Hibernians
Page 1 of 6

Floriana

(Away)
20 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 4
Floriana
12 Sept
Floriana
2 : 5
Marsaxlokk
07 Sept
Floriana
0 : 2
Valletta
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1
Floriana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floriana 6 4 1 1 16:7 13
2 Valletta 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
3 Marsaxlokk 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
4 Birkirkara 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Hamrun 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
6 Mosta FC 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
7 Sliema 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
8 Balzan FC 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
9 Zabbar 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
10 Hibernians 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
11 Gzira 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
12 Birzebbuga 6 0 0 6 1:14 0
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)