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Hilal Alsahil vs Al-Mergheni

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Hilal Alsahil and Al-Mergheni finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hilal Alsahil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hilal Alsahil
6%
Draws
4%
Al-Mergheni
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hilal Alsahil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Mergheni haven't matched Hilal Alsahil's recent run of results.
  • Hilal Alsahil are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hilal Alsahil Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Mergheni Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal Alsahil Al-Mergheni
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 13 14
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Hilal Alsahil
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Premier League
Hilal Alsahil vs Al-Mergheni
3:1
Feb 7, 2025 Premier League
Hilal Alsahil vs Al-Mergheni
1:0
Jan 14, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mergheni vs Hilal Alsahil
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal Alsahil 85 / 100
Al-Mergheni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal Alsahil Al-Mergheni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hilal Alsahil scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Al-Mergheni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Hilal Alsahil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hilal Alsahil VS Al-Mergheni
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
38% Over 1.5 71%
13% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75