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Hilal El-Fasher vs Ahli Shendi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2022/2023 game between Hilal El-Fasher and Ahli Shendi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hilal El-Fasher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hilal El-Fasher
39%
Draws
31%
Ahli Shendi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hilal El-Fasher carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 20%
Ahli Shendi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal El-Fasher Ahli Shendi
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Ahli Shendi
2:0
Oct 20, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Hilal El-Fasher
1:0
Jun 21, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:1
Feb 22, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Ahli Shendi
0:1
Jul 17, 2021 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal El-Fasher 31 / 100
Ahli Shendi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal El-Fasher Ahli Shendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hilal El-Fasher found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Ahli Shendi has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Ahli Shendi registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hilal El-Fasher VS Ahli Shendi
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman20172155:1253
2Al-Merreikh19153133:848
3Hay al-Arab26146639:2648
4Haidob Al Nuhod28136932:2645
5Ahli Khartoum28109935:2939
6Hilal El-Fasher291081131:3138
7Hay Al Wadi24108629:2738
8Alamal SC Atbara261051124:2835
9Al Shorta271051228:3435
10Kober29981232:3735
11Hilal Alsahil26810825:2834
12Wad Nobawi27614720:2432
13Alfalah Atbra25611821:1929
14Ahli Shendi26771214:2628
15Tuti27761426:3827
16Al-Ahly Merowe274131019:3625
17Al Zoma284101422:4022
18Rabita Kosti26571416:3222