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Hilal El Obied vs Al Mourada

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2018/2019 game between Hilal El Obied and Al Mourada finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Mourada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hilal El Obied
33%
Draws
27%
Al Mourada
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hilal El Obied

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hilal El Obied come out ahead of Al Mourada on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hilal El Obied a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hilal El Obied Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mourada Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hilal El Obied Al Mourada
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2019 Premier League
Hilal El Obied vs Al Mourada
1:2
Nov 23, 2018 Premier League
Al Mourada vs Hilal El Obied
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hilal El Obied 40 / 100
Al Mourada 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hilal El Obied Al Mourada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Mourada conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hilal El Obied stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Al Mourada has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hilal El Obied VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh1495034:1032
2Al-Khartoum1473421:1524
3Hilal El Obied1454520:1719
4Hay Al Wadi1447312:1619
5Al Mourada1454513:1919
6Alamal SC Atbara1452714:2217
7Ahli Khartoum1426613:1512
8Al-Ahly Merowe1415810:238
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman14101331:1031
2Ahli Shendi1484216:628
3Al Shorta1462618:1720
4Merreikh El-Fasher1445516:1517
5Hay al-Arab1444612:1716
6Al Hilal Kadougli1436513:1615
7Wad Hashim Sennar143657:1415
8Rabita Kosti141677:259