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Hill Of Beath vs Cowdenbeath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Bridgeford J.
Assist: Watt D.
62' Event
Linton J.

AI Match Summary

Hill Of Beath in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hill Of Beath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Hill Of Beath
15%
Draws
35%
Cowdenbeath
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hill Of Beath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Cowdenbeath haven't matched Hill Of Beath's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hill Of Beath's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hill Of Beath Clean Sheet 20%
Cowdenbeath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hill Of Beath Cowdenbeath
Matches Played 20 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.4 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Lowland League
Hill Of Beath vs Cowdenbeath
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hill Of Beath Compare

Top Goalscorer Bridgeford J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Linton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cowdenbeath Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hill Of Beath 49 / 100
Cowdenbeath 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hill Of Beath Cowdenbeath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hill Of Beath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hill Of Beath scored in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Cowdenbeath's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Hill Of Beath remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hill Of Beath VS Cowdenbeath
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hill Of Beath

(Home)
03 Oct
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0
Glasgow University
26 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 1
Lochee United
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0
Cowdenbeath
Page 1 of 4

Cowdenbeath

(Away)
03 Oct
Cowdenbeath
4 : 0
Berwick
26 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 3
Clyde
23 Sept
Hamilton
1 : 0
Cowdenbeath
19 Sept
Cowdenbeath
3 : 1
Lochee United
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)