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Hill Of Beath vs Musselburgh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Smith J.
Assist: Middleton L.

AI Match Summary

Hill Of Beath in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hill Of Beath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hill Of Beath
30%
Draws
27%
Musselburgh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hill Of Beath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Hill Of Beath have won more games recently than Musselburgh.
  • Hill Of Beath are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hill Of Beath Clean Sheet 20%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hill Of Beath Musselburgh
Matches Played 20 23
Wins 11 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Lowland League
Hill Of Beath vs Musselburgh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hill Of Beath Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Musselburgh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hill Of Beath 58 / 100
Musselburgh 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hill Of Beath Musselburgh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hill Of Beath Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hill Of Beath's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Defensive concern: Musselburgh conceded in 83% of 23 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hill Of Beath stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hill Of Beath VS Musselburgh
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hill Of Beath

(Home)
03 Oct
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0
Glasgow University
26 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 1
Lochee United
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0
Cowdenbeath
Page 1 of 4

Musselburgh

(Away)
03 Oct
Musselburgh
2 : 1
Lossiemouth
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)