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Stadium Background

Hillerod vs Esbjerg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Hillerød Stadion, Hillerød
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
From L.
Assist: Kolawole J.
30'
Strand S.
35' Event
Bjur P.
Assist: Tjornelund P.

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esbjerg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hillerod
35%
Draws
32%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hillerod haven't matched Esbjerg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hillerod a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 14%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Esbjerg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
2:3
May 16, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Munck M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer From L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjur P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 35 / 100
Esbjerg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Esbjerg has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Hillerod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Esbjerg
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
10 Oct
Hillerod
0 : 2
Fredericia
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
Page 1 of 6

Esbjerg

(Away)
10 Oct
Esbjerg
3 : 3
Aalborg
19 Sept
AB Copenhagen
3 : 0
Esbjerg
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
12 Sept
Esbjerg
2 : 2
Koge
05 Sept
Fredericia
1 : 0
Esbjerg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 10 7 3 0 20:10 24
2 Vejle 10 5 4 1 23:15 19
3 Fredericia 10 4 5 1 14:6 17
4 Aalborg 10 3 5 2 14:14 14
5 Hobro 10 4 2 4 13:17 14
6 Aarhus Fremad 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
7 AB Copenhagen 10 3 3 4 13:10 12
8 Vendsyssel FF 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
9 Kolding IF 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
10 Hillerod 10 2 3 5 13:16 9
11 Koge 9 1 4 4 11:17 7
12 Esbjerg 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)