Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hillerod vs Esbjerg

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Helsingor Stadion, Helsingor
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
From L.
Assist: Kolawole J.
30'
Strand S.
35' Event
Bjur P.
Assist: Tjornelund P.

AI Match Summary

Esbjerg in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esbjerg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Hillerod
20%
Draws
70%
Esbjerg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esbjerg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Hillerod haven't matched Esbjerg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hillerod a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1st Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 12%
Esbjerg Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Esbjerg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
2:3
May 16, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 1st Division
Esbjerg vs Hillerod
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Esbjerg
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Munck M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Esbjerg Compare

Top Goalscorer From L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjur P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 35 / 100
Esbjerg 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Esbjerg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Esbjerg conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Hillerod scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Hillerod stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Esbjerg
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
01 Aug
Hillerod
2 : 3
Esbjerg
24 Jul
Aalborg
1 : 0
Hillerod
18 Jul
Hillerod
0 : 1
Lyngby
11 Jul
Vejle
1 : 1
Hillerod
04 Jul
Odense
2 : 0
Hillerod
Page 1 of 6

Esbjerg

(Away)
01 Aug
Hillerod
2 : 3
Esbjerg
25 Jul
Esbjerg
1 : 1
Kolding IF
18 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 1
Fredericia
11 Jul
Esbjerg
0 : 2
Mafra
04 Jul
Esbjerg
2 : 0
Aarhus Fremad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aarhus Fremad 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Aalborg 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 Hobro 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 Fredericia 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
5 Vejle 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
6 Esbjerg 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
7 Hvidovre IF 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
8 AB Copenhagen 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
9 Vendsyssel FF 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
10 Kolding IF 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Hillerod 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
12 Koge 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)