Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hillerod vs Hobro

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Hillerød Stadion, Hillerød
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Opoku S.
Assist: Arndal T.
21'
Enemark C.
22' Event
Sigurdsson J.
Assist: Corlu R.

AI Match Summary

Hillerod in this 1st Division matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hillerod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hillerod
30%
Draws
33%
Hobro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hillerod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hobro lately — more wins on the board than Hillerod.
  • Model gives Hillerod a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 68%
Hobro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Hobro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Hobro
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Hillerod
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Hobro
0:2
May 2, 2025 1st Division
Hobro vs Hillerod
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Hobro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hillerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Hobro Compare

Top Goalscorer Christensen F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 95 / 100
Hobro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Hobro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hillerod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Hobro conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Hillerod has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Hobro
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

Hobro

(Away)
11 Sept
Hobro
0 : 0
Vejle
04 Sept
Hobro
1 : 3
Hvidovre IF
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
21 Aug
Hobro
2 : 1
Aalborg
15 Aug
Esbjerg
1 : 2
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 9 6 3 0 18:9 21
2 Vejle 9 5 4 0 22:13 19
3 Fredericia 9 3 5 1 12:6 14
4 Aarhus Fremad 9 3 4 2 10:9 13
5 Aalborg 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
6 Hobro 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
7 Vendsyssel FF 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
8 AB Copenhagen 9 2 3 4 11:10 9
9 Hillerod 9 2 3 4 13:14 9
10 Kolding IF 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
11 Esbjerg 9 1 2 6 10:19 5
12 Koge 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)