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Hillerod vs Holbaek

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
86' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Hillerod and Holbaek finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hillerod
20%
Draws
57%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holbaek come out ahead of Hillerod on wins alone.
  • Hillerod are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Holbaek
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 18
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.57 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Hillerod vs Holbaek
1:1
Mar 14, 2020 2nd Division - Group 1
Hillerod vs Holbaek
0:0
Sep 29, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Holbaek vs Hillerod
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 74 / 100
Holbaek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hillerod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hillerod scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Holbaek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Hillerod went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Holbaek
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
20 Aug
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 0
Hillerod
15 Aug
Hillerod
1 : 1
Aarhus Fremad
09 Aug
Vejle
5 : 4
Hillerod
06 Aug
Vaeggerlose
0 : 12
Hillerod
01 Aug
Hillerod
2 : 3
Esbjerg
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Holbaek

(Away)
15 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
Sundby
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
04 Aug
Holbaek
1 : 2
AB Copenhagen
01 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
BK Frem
18 Jul
Hellerup
1 : 3
Holbaek
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