Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hillerod vs Horsens

Denmark Denmark

1st Division 2025/2026 Helsingor Stadion, Helsingor
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Larsen S. In: Allen C.
Out: Larsen S.
46'
Sub
Samb M. In: Gouba A.
Out: Samb M.
55'
Sub
Corlu R. In: Kallsberg P.
Out: Corlu R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1st Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hillerod
30%
Draws
39%
Horsens
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Horsens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Horsens lately — more wins on the board than Hillerod.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hillerod taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 11%
Horsens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Horsens
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 1st Division
Horsens vs Hillerod
4:0
Apr 11, 2026 1st Division
Hillerod vs Horsens
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 1st Division
Horsens vs Hillerod
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Horsens
2:1
Oct 25, 2024 1st Division
Hillerod vs Horsens
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 40 / 100
Horsens 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Horsens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Horsens's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hillerod stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Horsens
3.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
Page 1 of 6

Horsens

(Away)
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
11 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2 : 0
Horsens
06 Sept
Sonderjyske
2 : 5
Horsens
01 Sept
Lyseng
0 : 4
Horsens
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyngby 32 18 6 8 69:36 60
2 Horsens 32 15 9 8 42:27 54
3 Esbjerg 32 15 7 10 45:43 52
4 Hillerod 32 13 11 8 42:43 50
5 Hvidovre IF 32 11 13 8 43:39 46
6 Kolding IF 32 10 8 14 37:40 38
Promotion - Superliga (Main)