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Hillerod vs Koge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

1st Division Hillerød Stadion, Hillerød
Hillerod Logo

Hillerod

Sat, Dec 5, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Koge Logo

Koge

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hillerod host Koge in the 1st Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hillerod have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Koge's 1.38 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Hillerod slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.50) back Hillerod to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hillerod
30%
Draws
39%
Koge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Koge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Koge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Koge a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 16%
Koge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Koge
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 1st Division
Koge vs Hillerod
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hillerod
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Koge
3:1
Apr 25, 2025 1st Division
Hillerod vs Koge
3:0
Apr 13, 2025 1st Division
Koge vs Hillerod
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 19 / 100
Koge 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Koge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Koge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Hillerod went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Koge
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
01 Nov
Aarhus Fremad
2 : 0
Hillerod
24 Oct
Hillerod
2 : 1
Aalborg
18 Oct
Hvidovre IF
1 : 0
Hillerod
10 Oct
Hillerod
0 : 2
Fredericia
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
Page 1 of 6

Koge

(Away)
06 Nov
Koge
1 : 1
Aalborg
31 Oct
Kolding IF
3 : 2
Koge
23 Oct
Hvidovre IF
2 : 2
Koge
16 Oct
Koge
2 : 3
AB Copenhagen
11 Oct
Vendsyssel FF
0 : 2
Koge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hvidovre IF 13 8 5 0 24:13 29
2 Vejle 14 7 6 1 26:16 27
3 Fredericia 14 6 5 3 21:10 23
4 AB Copenhagen 14 6 3 5 21:15 21
5 Aarhus Fremad 13 4 6 3 12:11 18
6 Aalborg 14 3 7 4 17:19 16
7 Hobro 13 4 4 5 16:23 16
8 Kolding IF 13 3 6 4 16:17 15
9 Hillerod 13 3 3 7 15:20 12
10 Koge 14 2 6 6 20:26 12
11 Vendsyssel FF 14 2 6 6 14:24 12
12 Esbjerg 13 2 5 6 16:24 11
Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 1st Division (Relegation Group)