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Hillerod vs Tarup-Paarup - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Broni M.
58' Event
Bendtzen J.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 1 2018/2019 game between Hillerod and Tarup-Paarup finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarup-Paarup.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Hillerod
30%
Draws
8%
Tarup-Paarup
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hillerod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Tarup-Paarup haven't matched Hillerod's recent run of results.
  • Hillerod are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hillerod Clean Sheet 20%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hillerod Tarup-Paarup
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.68 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.26 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Hillerod vs Tarup-Paarup
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hillerod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tarup-Paarup Compare

Top Goalscorer Broni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bendtzen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hillerod 85 / 100
Tarup-Paarup 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hillerod Tarup-Paarup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hillerod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hillerod found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Tarup-Paarup conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Hillerod went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hillerod VS Tarup-Paarup
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hillerod

(Home)
18 Sept
Kolding IF
1 : 1
Hillerod
12 Sept
Hillerod
1 : 0
AB Copenhagen
09 Sept
Vanlose
2 : 1
Hillerod
04 Sept
Koge
1 : 1
Hillerod
30 Aug
Hillerod
3 : 1
Hobro
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Tarup-Paarup

(Away)
05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3
Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6
Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1
Naesby
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