Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Toska A.
70'
70'
Small J.
85'
85'
Hunter M.
AI Match Summary
The NSW League One game between Hills United and Rydalmere Lions finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hills United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hills United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hills United come out ahead of Rydalmere Lions on wins alone.
- Hills United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Hills United Clean Sheet 16%
Rydalmere Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hills United | Rydalmere Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NSW League One
Hills United vs Rydalmere Lions
3:1
May 9, 2026 NSW League One
Rydalmere Lions vs Hills United
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 NSW League One
Rydalmere Lions vs Hills United
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 NSW League One
Hills United vs Rydalmere Lions
0:3
Jun 17, 2023 NSW League One
Hills United vs Rydalmere Lions
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hills United Compare
Top Goalscorer Hunter M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Small J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Rydalmere Lions Compare
Top Goalscorer Toska A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hills United 84 / 100
Rydalmere Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hills United Rydalmere Lions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hills United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hills United scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Hills United stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Rydalmere Lions let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Hills United VS Rydalmere Lions
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hills United
(Home) 29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0 Central Coast U23
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1 Rydalmere Lions
15 Aug
Western City Rangers
1 : 2 Hills United
08 Aug
Hills United
4 : 0 Canterbury Bankstown FC
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2 Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0 Central Coast U23
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1 Rydalmere Lions
08 Aug
Hills United
4 : 0 Canterbury Bankstown FC
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2 Bankstown City Lions FC
18 Jul
Hills United
2 : 1 Hakoah Sydney
Page 1 of 3
Rydalmere Lions
(Away) 29 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
3 : 2 Dulwich Hill
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1 Rydalmere Lions
15 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
0 : 3 Prospect United
08 Aug
Northern Tigers
2 : 1 Rydalmere Lions
01 Aug
Rydalmere Lions
1 : 1 Newcastle Jets U23
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1 Rydalmere Lions
08 Aug
Northern Tigers
2 : 1 Rydalmere Lions
25 Jul
Hakoah Sydney
1 : 0 Rydalmere Lions
18 Jul
Inter Lions
0 : 4 Rydalmere Lions
05 Jul
Central Coast U23
1 : 2 Rydalmere Lions
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 79:36 | 69 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 65:45 | 56 |
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 71:53 | 51 |
| 5 | Hills United | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 62:45 | 49 |
| 6 | Macarthur Rams | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 40:36 | 48 |
| 7 | Hakoah Sydney | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 55:52 | 41 |
| 8 | Rydalmere Lions | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43:46 | 41 |
| 9 | Bulls Academy | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 52:50 | 38 |
| 10 | Inter Lions | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 39:54 | 35 |
| 11 | Hurstville Zagreb | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Central Coast U23 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 46:67 | 31 |
| 13 | Dulwich Hill | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 40:58 | 30 |
| 14 | Newcastle Jets U23 | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 55:73 | 29 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 33:52 | 26 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 37:62 | 24 |
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)
