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Himachal Pradesh vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)

India India

Santosh Trophy
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Dar A. A.
45' Event
Ayoub A.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Aakif J.

AI Match Summary

Jammu Kashmir (J&K) in this Santosh Trophy tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Himachal Pradesh
6%
Draws
90%
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jammu Kashmir (J&K)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jammu Kashmir (J&K) have won more games recently than Himachal Pradesh.
  • Win probability leans Jammu Kashmir (J&K)'s way, sitting at 90%.
  • Jammu Kashmir (J&K) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jammu Kashmir (J&K), who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Jammu Kashmir (J&K) here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Himachal Pradesh Clean Sheet 10%
Jammu Kashmir (J&K) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Himachal Pradesh Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
Matches Played 20 25
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 4.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 Santosh Trophy
Himachal Pradesh vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
0:3
Nov 22, 2024 Santosh Trophy
Himachal Pradesh vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
1:4
Nov 27, 2021 Santosh Trophy
Himachal Pradesh vs Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Himachal Pradesh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Jammu Kashmir (J&K) Compare

Top Goalscorer Dar A. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aakif J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Himachal Pradesh 10 / 100
Jammu Kashmir (J&K) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Himachal Pradesh Jammu Kashmir (J&K)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Jammu Kashmir (J&K) conceded in 64% of 25 recent games.

Himachal Pradesh found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (20 games).

Jammu Kashmir (J&K) lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Himachal Pradesh VS Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
4.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Himachal Pradesh

(Home)
19 Dec
Ladakh
1 : 0
Himachal Pradesh
17 Dec
Himachal Pradesh
0 : 3
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
15 Dec
Himachal Pradesh
0 : 6
Punjab FT
24 Nov
Himachal Pradesh
0 : 7
Punjab FT
22 Nov
Himachal Pradesh
1 : 4
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
Page 1 of 4

Jammu Kashmir (J&K)

(Away)
19 Dec
Punjab FT
1 : 0
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
17 Dec
Himachal Pradesh
0 : 3
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
15 Dec
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
3 : 0
Ladakh
27 Dec
Kerala
1 : 0
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
23 Dec
Jammu Kashmir (J&K)
1 : 0
Rajasthan FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Punjab FT330010:09
2Jammu Kashmir (J&K)32016:16
3Ladakh31021:63
4Himachal Pradesh30030:100
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uttarakhand33005:09
2Haryana31113:34
3Chandigarh31021:33
4Uttar Pradesh30121:41
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Railways321013:07
2Delhi football team321010:17
3Jharkhand31022:143
4Bihar30030:100
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nagaland32105:17
2Manipur32018:56
3Mizoram31022:43
4Tripura30122:71
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Meghalaya21013:33
2Arunachal21012:23
3Sikkim FA21012:23
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Odisha football team33008:19
2Telangana32016:26
3Chhattisgarh31025:53
4Madhya Pradesh30030:110
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamilnadu330014:09
2Pondicherry32015:56
3Andhra Pradesh31022:83
4Andamans & Nicobar30031:90
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Services33008:29
2Goa FT31113:54
3Karnataka31024:43
4Lakshadweep30122:61
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rajasthan FC321010:17
2Gujarat32109:17
3Maharashtra31024:63
4DNHDD FT30030:150
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Final Group)