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Hinckley vs Bedford

England England

Southern Premier League 2013/2014
Sat, Feb 15, 2014
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hinckley host Bedford in the Southern Premier League 2013/2014. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Hinckley have averaged 1.67 scored and 2.67 conceded recently, against Bedford's 1.34 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Hinckley have won 0 to Bedford's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2014, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.24, favoring Bedford. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Hinckley
15%
Draws
60%
Bedford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Bedford have won more games recently than Hinckley.
  • Model gives Bedford a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern Premier League 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hinckley Clean Sheet 19%
Bedford Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hinckley Bedford
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 1 14
Draws 0 6
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2014 Southern Premier League
Hinckley vs Bedford
0:0
Dec 14, 2013 Southern Premier League
Bedford vs Hinckley
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hinckley 24 / 100
Bedford 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hinckley Bedford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bedford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hinckley scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Bedford has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Hinckley has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bedford
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hinckley

(Home)
02 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Hinckley
26 Sept
Chasetown
5 : 2
Hinckley
12 Sept
Hinckley
2 : 1
Redditch

Bedford

(Away)
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0
Radcliffe
31 Aug
Telford
0 : 1
Bedford
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemel Hempstead 44 32 6 6 128:38 102
2 Chesham 44 29 5 10 102:47 92
3 Cambridge City 44 27 7 10 95:49 88
4 St. Albans 44 25 10 9 89:49 85
5 Stourbridge 44 26 6 12 114:54 84
6 Hungerford 44 26 6 12 83:45 84
7 Poole Town 44 25 10 9 82:48 82
8 Bideford 44 18 13 13 75:64 67
9 Biggleswade Town 44 16 16 12 85:61 64
10 Redditch 44 20 3 21 68:85 63
11 Corby 44 18 6 20 65:68 60
12 Weymouth 44 18 6 20 69:80 60
13 Hitchin 44 16 11 17 63:52 59
14 Frome Town 44 16 9 19 63:74 57
15 Arlesey 44 15 10 19 68:79 55
16 Neots 44 15 9 20 74:76 54
17 Truro 44 15 9 20 68:84 54
18 Chippenham Town 44 14 6 24 59:87 48
19 Banbury 44 14 5 25 64:116 47
20 Burnham FC 44 12 8 24 60:91 44
21 AFC Totton 44 10 7 27 58:119 37
22 Bedford 44 6 6 32 46:114 24
23 Bashley 44 4 4 36 33:131 16
Promotion - Vanarama Conference South 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)