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Hinckley vs Chesham

England England

Southern Premier League 2013/2014
Sat, Mar 1, 2014
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hinckley host Chesham in the Southern Premier League 2013/2014. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Hinckley have averaged 1.67 scored and 2.67 conceded recently, against Chesham's 2.03 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Hinckley slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2014, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.80, favoring Chesham. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Hinckley
15%
Draws
50%
Chesham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chesham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Chesham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chesham a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hinckley Clean Sheet 11%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hinckley Chesham
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.67 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2014 Southern Premier League
Hinckley vs Chesham
0:0
Oct 5, 2013 Southern Premier League
Chesham vs Hinckley
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hinckley 14 / 100
Chesham 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hinckley Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chesham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hinckley scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Chesham let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Hinckley went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chesham
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hinckley

(Home)
02 Sept
Mickleover
2 : 1
Hinckley
26 Sept
Chasetown
5 : 2
Hinckley
12 Sept
Hinckley
2 : 1
Redditch

Chesham

(Away)
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2
Dover Ath.
29 Aug
AFC Totton
0 : 4
Chesham
22 Aug
Chesham
2 : 0
Walton & Hersham
19 Aug
Farnborough
1 : 0
Chesham
15 Aug
Braintree
3 : 2
Chesham
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemel Hempstead 44 32 6 6 128:38 102
2 Chesham 44 29 5 10 102:47 92
3 Cambridge City 44 27 7 10 95:49 88
4 St. Albans 44 25 10 9 89:49 85
5 Stourbridge 44 26 6 12 114:54 84
6 Hungerford 44 26 6 12 83:45 84
7 Poole Town 44 25 10 9 82:48 82
8 Bideford 44 18 13 13 75:64 67
9 Biggleswade Town 44 16 16 12 85:61 64
10 Redditch 44 20 3 21 68:85 63
11 Corby 44 18 6 20 65:68 60
12 Weymouth 44 18 6 20 69:80 60
13 Hitchin 44 16 11 17 63:52 59
14 Frome Town 44 16 9 19 63:74 57
15 Arlesey 44 15 10 19 68:79 55
16 Neots 44 15 9 20 74:76 54
17 Truro 44 15 9 20 68:84 54
18 Chippenham Town 44 14 6 24 59:87 48
19 Banbury 44 14 5 25 64:116 47
20 Burnham FC 44 12 8 24 60:91 44
21 AFC Totton 44 10 7 27 58:119 37
22 Bedford 44 6 6 32 46:114 24
23 Bashley 44 4 4 36 33:131 16
Promotion - Vanarama Conference South 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern Premier League 2013/2014 (Play Offs)