Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hirnyk-Sport vs Trostyanets

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga Yunist Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hirnyk-Sport play Trostyanets in the Druha Liga. Trostyanets are favorites here. Recently, Hirnyk-Sport averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Trostyanets averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Hirnyk-Sport won 1, Trostyanets won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Hirnyk-Sport and 1.00 for Trostyanets. This points to a Trostyanets double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Hirnyk-Sport
25%
Draws
60%
Trostyanets
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Trostyanets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Hirnyk-Sport picked up more points recently compared to Trostyanets.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Hirnyk-Sport Clean Sheet 23%
Trostyanets Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hirnyk-Sport Trostyanets
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Druha Liga
Hirnyk-Sport vs Trostyanets
1:1
Oct 8, 2025 Druha Liga
Trostyanets vs Hirnyk-Sport
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Hirnyk-Sport vs Trostyanets
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 Druha Liga
Hirnyk-Sport vs Trostyanets
0:3
May 11, 2025 Druha Liga
Trostyanets vs Hirnyk-Sport
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hirnyk-Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Popovych K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Trostyanets Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheglov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hirnyk-Sport 18 / 100
Trostyanets 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hirnyk-Sport Trostyanets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trostyanets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Trostyanets & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hirnyk-Sport attacking → ← attacking Trostyanets

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hirnyk-Sport scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Trostyanets let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Hirnyk-Sport went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Trostyanets lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 41
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kulikiv30215458:1868
2Zhytomyr 230189369:2263
3Nyva Vinnytsya30156942:3251
4Nyva Ternopil 2301621230:4350
5Atlet Kiev301441245:4846
6FC Uzhhorod301351240:3744
7Skala 1911301351262:4844
8FC Vilkhivtsi301251350:4641
9Bukovyna 230761731:5727
10Real Pharma Odesa30142518:967
11Lisne30831932:3027
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lokomotyv Kyiv30224465:1670
2Kolos Kovalivka 230216364:2269
3Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka30176758:4157
4Rebel Kyiv301551034:2750
5Livyi Bereg 230139850:2848
6Trostyanets30138946:3147
7Oleksandriya 2301281037:3244
8Ch. Odesa 230591625:5624
9Dinaz Vyshgorod30542126:6219
10Penuel Kryvyi Rih30381927:6417
11Hirnyk-Sport30352220:7314