Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Pearce K.
89'
89'
Rhiney T.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central game between Hitchin and Stourbridge finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hitchin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stourbridge carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Hitchin's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hitchin Clean Sheet 20%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hitchin | Stourbridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Hitchin vs Stourbridge
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Hitchin
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Hitchin vs Stourbridge
1:5
Apr 27, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Hitchin vs Stourbridge
0:0
Nov 28, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Hitchin
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hitchin Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Stourbridge Compare
Top Goalscorer Pearce K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hitchin 67 / 100
Stourbridge 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hitchin Stourbridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hitchin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stourbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Hitchin scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Hitchin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hitchin VS Stourbridge
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Hitchin
(Home) 22 Sept
Bury Town
1 : 0 Hitchin
19 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 2 Leiston
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
08 Sept
Hitchin
3 : 0 Biggleswade Town
05 Sept
Biggleswade Town
1 : 1 Hitchin
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 2 Leiston
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
08 Sept
Hitchin
3 : 0 Biggleswade Town
29 Aug
Hitchin
1 : 1 Kettering
15 Aug
Hitchin
1 : 1 Redditch
Page 1 of 4
Stourbridge
(Away) 22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4 Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
06 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 3 Rushall
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
29 Aug
Banbury
1 : 1 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1 Stourbridge
29 Aug
Banbury
1 : 1 Stourbridge
15 Aug
Peterborough Sports
1 : 2 Stourbridge
28 Jul
Halesowen
3 : 3 Stourbridge
18 Apr
Sudbury
0 : 4 Stourbridge
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | Bromsgrove | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Alvechurch | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kettering | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 15 |
| 6 | Anstey Nomads | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Rushall | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Peterborough Sports | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Leiston | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Stortford | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Redditch | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Halesowen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Stourbridge | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Worcester | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Banbury | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 18 | Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Leamington | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 20 | Hitchin | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 21 | Stratford | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 22 | Stamford | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1:21 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
