Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK Akatemia W vs JyPK W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HJK Akatemia W play JyPK W in the Kansallinen Ykkonen Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, HJK Akatemia W averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. JyPK W averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. In past meetings, HJK Akatemia W won 1, JyPK W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for HJK Akatemia W and 1.69 for JyPK W. This points to a HJK Akatemia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
HJK Akatemia W
19%
Draws
37%
JyPK W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: HJK Akatemia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • HJK Akatemia W picked up more points recently compared to JyPK W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
HJK Akatemia W Clean Sheet 13%
JyPK W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK Akatemia W JyPK W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.6 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJK Akatemia W vs JyPK W
5:1
Sep 24, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
JyPK W vs HJK Akatemia W
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK Akatemia W vs JyPK W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK Akatemia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pietikainen I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Eranka S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

JyPK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaikkonen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK Akatemia W 42 / 100
JyPK W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK Akatemia W JyPK W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: HJK Akatemia W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

HJK Akatemia W attacking → ← attacking JyPK W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK Akatemia W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

JyPK W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

HJK Akatemia W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

JyPK W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 32
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EBK W15122143:938
2Honka W1593326:1230
3HJK Akatemia W1683534:2427
4HJS W1581631:2425
5ONS Oulu W1672724:2223
6JyPK W1571730:2622
7Keski-Uusimaa W1661925:3219
8KTP W16501121:4815
9TPS W1525816:3411
10Lahti W15321022:4111