Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK U19 vs Malmo FF U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Loukili Z.
18' Event
Ghita A.
24' Event
Ghita A.
Assist: Hughes A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Malmo FF U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
HJK U19
15%
Draws
20%
Malmo FF U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Malmo FF U19 come out ahead of HJK U19 on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on HJK U19 taking it.
  • Malmo FF U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malmo FF U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
HJK U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Malmo FF U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK U19 Malmo FF U19
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.39 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2023 UEFA Youth League
HJK U19 vs Malmo FF U19
1:2
Oct 4, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Malmo FF U19 vs HJK U19
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezeh D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Malmo FF U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghita A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK U19 85 / 100
Malmo FF U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK U19 Malmo FF U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malmo FF U19 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

HJK U19's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Recent resilience: HJK U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK U19 VS Malmo FF U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK U19

(Home)
25 Feb
PSG U19
6 : 1
HJK U19
04 Feb
HJK U19
4 : 3
Manchester City U19
10 Dec
Genk U19
2 : 2
HJK U19
26 Nov
HJK U19
1 : 0
Genk U19
05 Nov
Trabzonspor U19
0 : 1
HJK U19
Page 1 of 4

Malmo FF U19

(Away)
04 Feb
Fremad Amager
2 : 0
Malmo FF U19
25 Oct
HJK U19
1 : 2
Malmo FF U19
04 Oct
Malmo FF U19
1 : 4
HJK U19
08 Dec
Juventus U19
4 : 1
Malmo FF U19
23 Nov
Malmo FF U19
1 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rukh Lviv U19 4
FK Sarajevo U19 2
Famalicao U19 2
Midtjylland U19 3
Lech Poznan U19 1
Nantes U19 2
Malmo FF U19 3
HJK U19 5
Molde U19 5
Hamilton U19 4
AZ Alkmaar U19 14
Klaipedos FM U19 0
Sparta Prague U19 1
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Pafos U19 0
Zilina U19 6
Gent U19 0
Basel U19 3
Din. Zagreb U19 5
Basaksehir U19 2
Gabala U19 2
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6
Lecce U19 2
Maribor U19 1
Mainz U19 3
Din. Minsk U19 2
Ludogorets U19 1
Turan U19 0
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 6
Univ. Craiova U19 0
Partizan U19 5
Final
Rukh Lviv U19 1
Midtjylland U19 4
Nantes U19 2
HJK U19 1
Molde U19 3
AZ Alkmaar U19 6
Sparta Prague U19 6
Zilina U19 7
Basel U19 2
Din. Zagreb U19 0
Gabala U19 0
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 7
Mainz U19 3
Din. Minsk U19 2
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 4
Partizan U19 5