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HJK vs AC Oulu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK Logo

HJK

Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK host AC Oulu in the Veikkausliiga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: HJK at 2.38 goals for, 1.16 against; AC Oulu at 1.14 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor HJK slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2026, ending 3:4. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.13) point toward HJK. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
HJK
20%
Draws
28%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • HJK have won more games recently than AC Oulu.
  • HJK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
HJK Clean Sheet 20%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK AC Oulu
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs HJK
3:4
Aug 9, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs HJK
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs AC Oulu
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liiga Cup
AC Oulu vs HJK
2:1
Aug 21, 2025 Suomen Cup
HJK vs AC Oulu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 85 / 100
AC Oulu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: HJK stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

HJK scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: AC Oulu conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS AC Oulu
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
17 Oct
HJK
4 : 0
Gnistan
12 Oct
AC Oulu
3 : 4
HJK
08 Oct
HJK
6 : 0
VPS
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
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AC Oulu

(Away)
17 Oct
Inter Turku
1 : 2
AC Oulu
12 Oct
AC Oulu
3 : 4
HJK
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Turku 28 14 10 4 34:20 52
2 HJK 28 15 6 7 53:32 51
3 KuPS 28 14 9 5 43:26 51
4 Gnistan 28 11 9 8 40:37 42
5 AC Oulu 28 12 4 12 32:34 40
6 VPS 28 11 6 11 31:33 39
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)