Sport Picks

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HJK vs Hammarby

World World

Club Friendly Talin Jalkapallohalli, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Besara N.
46'
Sub
Mero T. In: Ezeh D.
Out: Mero T.
56'
Sub
Pukki T. In: Borchers M.
Out: Pukki T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between HJK and Hammarby finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
HJK
20%
Draws
47%
Hammarby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HJK come out ahead of Hammarby on wins alone.
  • Hammarby are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
HJK Clean Sheet 20%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK Hammarby
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.31 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
HJK vs Hammarby
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
HJK vs Hammarby
0:3
Feb 11, 2024 Club Friendly
Hammarby vs HJK
1:2
Mar 26, 2022 Club Friendly
HJK vs Hammarby
2:2
Jan 26, 2019 Club Friendly
HJK vs Hammarby
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezeh D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Besara N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Persson N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 20 / 100
Hammarby 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK Hammarby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

HJK's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Hammarby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Solid form: HJK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS Hammarby
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
23 Aug
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
16 Aug
HJK
3 : 0
Jaro
13 Aug
Motherwell
2 : 0
HJK
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
06 Aug
HJK
1 : 1
Motherwell
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Hammarby

(Away)
23 Aug
Hammarby
2 : 0
GAIS
16 Aug
Kalmar
0 : 4
Hammarby
13 Aug
Hammarby
0 : 1
Rakow Czestochowa
09 Aug
Hammarby
3 : 0
Hacken
06 Aug
Rakow Czestochowa
0 : 0
Hammarby
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