Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Moller L.
Assist: Ring A.
34'
34'
Tikkanen V.
36'
36'
Sub
Moller L. In: Lyons-Foster B.
Out: Moller L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to HJK lately — more wins on the board than Ilves.
- HJK are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- HJK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor HJK, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
HJK Clean Sheet 20%
Ilves Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | HJK | Ilves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.34 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 1, 2026 Suomen Cup
HJK vs Ilves
2:1
May 16, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Ilves
2:2
Oct 30, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Ilves vs HJK
3:1
Sep 29, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Ilves
2:2
Aug 11, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs Ilves
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
HJK Compare
Top Goalscorer Moller L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cicale A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Ilves Compare
Top Goalscorer Hytonen T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
HJK 36 / 100
Ilves 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
HJK Ilves
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: HJK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Ilves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: HJK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
HJK VS Ilves
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
HJK
(Home) 09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1 HJK
06 Aug
HJK
1 : 1 Motherwell
03 Aug
SJK
3 : 0 HJK
30 Jul
Coleraine
0 : 3 HJK
26 Jul
HJK
1 : 0 TPS
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
HJK
1 : 1 Motherwell
26 Jul
HJK
1 : 0 TPS
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0 Coleraine
18 Jul
HJK
2 : 1 VPS
01 Jul
HJK
2 : 1 Ilves
Page 1 of 3
Ilves
(Away) 09 Aug
Ilves
2 : 0 Mariehamn
06 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 0 Ilves
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0 Ilves
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1 Stjarnan
26 Jul
Ilves
1 : 0 Lahti
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 0 Ilves
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0 Ilves
23 Jul
Stjarnan
1 : 0 Ilves
20 Jul
TPS
1 : 3 Ilves
08 Jul
Differdange
0 : 0 Ilves
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Germania Helsinki 2
Jokerit FC 4
Mando United 0
HIFK 16
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit / Lauttasaari 3
Toolon Taisto 4
Tuusulan Palloseura 0
JaPS 2
Stapa de Royale 2
Loiske Lempaala 1
HPS II 1
PK-35 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Karhu-Futis 1
Leki 6
SalPa 2 0
VPS 11
TPS 2 1
MaPS 4
VaKP 0
Abo IFK 6
Toukolan Teras 0
Valtti 1
FC SUMU / SOB 2
EPS 3
FC Kangasala 1
EIF Academy 2
Lasten 0
Haka 3
VPV 0
SJK Akatemia 3
Santa Claus 1
OLS Oulu 9
Rollon Pojat 3
KaPa 1924 2
VIFK 4
KPV Kokkola 5
Kajaanin Haka 0
VPS 2 4
HAPK 1
SJK 6
NiemU 0
PEPO 1
Vaajakoski 0
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LappBK 1
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 8
Heinapaan Hanhet 24 0
JS Hercules 10
MPS 0
EBK 7
POHU 3
Gnistan 0
VG-62 Naantali 1
Narpes Kraft 3
TPV 0
Tampere Utd 2
Kuopion Elo 0
Huima / Urho 10
Lahden Reipas 1
KuPS Akatemia 2
POHU/Hurjin 0
Atlantis 8
LePa 1
Honka 4
FC Futura 4
GrIFK 1
JaPS Akatemia 0
VJS 7
HauPa 2
GBK Kokkola 3
AC Oulu 1
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 2
JBK 1
FC Kiisto Vaasa 1
RoPS Rovaniemi 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 4
LoPa 1
Keski-Uusimaa 2
KaPa 3
PoPo 2
PK-37 1
KoPa 0
MyPa 5
AC Estudiantes 0
PIF Pargas 4
TPV 2 0
Pallo-Iirot 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilves -
Fish United 0
SalPa 4
Ekenas IF 1
TPS 2
Gilla FC 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 5
Ylojarvi United 0
HJS 7
HPS 3
NJS 0
Kiffen 3 0
Mariehamn 5
Gnistan/M35 3
TiPS U21 2
Kiffen 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
KyPa 0
Union Plaani 4
KTP 1
Lahti 3
JIPPO II 0
JPS Jyvaskyla 2
Jippo 1
Mikkelin 2
1/32-finals
Jokerit FC 0
HIFK 5
Toolon Taisto 1
JaPS 9
Stapa de Royale 1
PK-35 8
TBD -
KuPS -
Leki 1
VPS 9
MaPS 0
Abo IFK 1
Valtti 0
EPS 2
EIF Academy 0
Haka 7
SJK Akatemia 2
OLS Oulu 1
Rollon Pojat 0
KPV Kokkola 4
VPS 2 1
SJK 6
PEPO 2
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Inter Turku -
TBD -
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 1
JS Hercules 4
EBK 5
POHU 4
Narpes Kraft 0
Tampere Utd 6
Huima / Urho 0
KuPS Akatemia 4
Atlantis 3
Honka 4
FC Futura 2
VJS 3
GBK Kokkola 0
Jaro 2
Ylivieska 0
RoPS Rovaniemi 1
TBD -
HJK -
VJS 2 1
KaPa 3
PoPo 1
MyPa 4
PIF Pargas 0
Pallo-Iirot 2
TBD -
Ilves -
SalPa 1
TPS 2
Pallo-Pojat Juniorit (PPJ) 0
HJS 1
HPS 1
Mariehamn 2
Gnistan/M35 1
PuiU Helsinki 2
Union Plaani 2
Lahti 4
JPS Jyvaskyla 3
Mikkelin 5
1/16-finals
HIFK 1
JaPS 3
PK-35 0
KuPS 2
VPS 7
Abo IFK 0
EPS 0
Haka 4
SJK Akatemia 2
KPV Kokkola 0
SJK 3
PEPO 0
Inter Turku 8
JS Hercules 0
EBK 3
Tampere Utd 2
KuPS Akatemia 0
Honka 1
VJS 5
Jaro 3
RoPS Rovaniemi 0
HJK 4
KaPa 1
MyPa 2
Pallo-Iirot 0
Ilves 4
TPS 3
HJS 0
Mariehamn 3
PuiU Helsinki 0
Lahti 3
Mikkelin 1
1/8-finals
JaPS 0
KuPS 1
VPS 4
Haka 0
SJK Akatemia 0
SJK 5
Inter Turku 2
EBK 1
Honka 5
VJS 1
HJK 11
MyPa 1
Ilves 1
TPS 0
Mariehamn 0
Lahti 1
Quarter-finals
KuPS 0
VPS 1
SJK 1
Inter Turku 2
Honka 1
HJK 7
Ilves 5
Lahti 2
Semi-finals
VPS 2
Inter Turku 3
HJK 2
Ilves 1
Final
Inter Turku -
HJK -
