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HJK vs KuPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HJK host KuPS in the Veikkausliiga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: HJK at 2.16 goals for, 1.1 against; KuPS at 1.39 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, HJK have won 0 to KuPS's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.06) point toward HJK. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
HJK
35%
Draws
32%
KuPS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • KuPS haven't matched HJK's recent run of results.
  • HJK are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
HJK Clean Sheet 20%
KuPS Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK KuPS
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.16 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs HJK
0:0
Jun 27, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs KuPS
0:4
Apr 26, 2026 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs HJK
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs KuPS
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Veikkausliiga
KuPS vs HJK
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 36 / 100
KuPS 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK KuPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

KuPS has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

HJK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS KuPS
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
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KuPS

(Away)
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 25 13 9 3 41:24 48
2 Inter Turku 25 13 9 3 32:18 48
3 HJK 25 12 6 7 39:29 42
4 Gnistan 25 11 8 6 40:32 41
5 VPS 25 10 6 9 30:25 36
6 AC Oulu 25 10 4 11 26:29 34
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)