Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK vs Motherwell

Europe Europe

Conference League Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Lowry A.
52'
Priestman O.
56'
Ylitolva M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
HJK
30%
Draws
23%
Motherwell
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • HJK have won more games recently than Motherwell.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on HJK taking it.
  • HJK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
HJK Clean Sheet 17%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK Motherwell
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Conference League
Motherwell vs HJK
2:0
Aug 6, 2026 Conference League
HJK vs Motherwell
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK Compare

Top Goalscorer Pukki T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Motherwell Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 75 / 100
Motherwell 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK Motherwell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Motherwell has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: HJK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS Motherwell
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
Page 1 of 6

Motherwell

(Away)
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1
Motherwell
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Motherwell
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
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Borac Banja Luka -
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Petrocub Hincesti -
ML Vitebsk -
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Sutjeska -
Shamrock Rovers -
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KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Drita -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
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Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
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Vardar -
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Riga FC -
Bissen -
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Gyor -
Lincoln Red Imps -
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Larne -
HJK -
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Coleraine -
Motherwell -
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HB Torshavn -
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Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
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Monaco -
Basaksehir -
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FK Sarajevo 2
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz -
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Mornar Bar 2
Atletic Escaldes 4
Debrecen -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
Pyunik Yerevan 4
Polissya Zhytomyr -
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FC Copenhagen -
Hearts -
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TBD -
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FC Hegelmann 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Zira FK 6
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Penybont 0
FC Santa Coloma 4
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Rapid Vienna -
Alashkert 4
Yelimay Semey 3
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CFR Cluj -
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Tromso -
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Brighton -
Mondorf 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Petrovac 2
Zalgiris 5
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Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
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Hammarby -
Paks -
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Panathinaikos -
Spartak Trnava -
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CSKA 1948 Sofia -
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Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg -
TBD -
Caernarfon 0
Levadia 10
LNZ Cherkasy -
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TBD -
Gent -
Vllaznia 2
Malisheva 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
Bravo -
TBD -
Europa FC 0
Shkendija Tetovo 6
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
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TBD -
Brann -
Dila Gori 3
Virtus 2
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Apollon Limassol -
Atalanta -
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Hapoel Tel Aviv -
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Ludogorets -
Zilina -
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GKS Katowice -
Bohemians 2
St Josephs 0
Connahs Q. 2
FC Ballkani 3
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TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka -
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TBD -
Derry City -
Vikingur 3
Stjarnan 5
Differdange 1
Ilves 3
Rangers -
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TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin -
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Jablonec -
Glentoran 1
RFS 4
TBD -
Vestri -
Valur -
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Zrinjski -
GAIS -
TBD -
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Nordsjaelland -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
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TBD -
TBD -
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St. Gallen -
FCSB -
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FK Auda Riga -
Aluminij -
TBD -
Dinamo City 4
FC Astana 2
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Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau -
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Noah -
AF Elbasani 1
BATE 2
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Sion -
Vojvodina -
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Ajax -
Shelbourne -
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Kalju 3
Linfield 2
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
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Braga -
Neftci Baku -
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Din. Minsk 2
Sileks 1
AEK Larnaca -
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Beitar Jerusalem -
Decic 1
FK Liepaja 3
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Austria Vienna -
Twente -
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Dun. Streda -
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Velez Mostar 2
Milsami 1
Dynamo Kyiv -
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Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
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Partizan -
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UNA Strassen 3
La Fiorita 0
FK Panevezys -
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Tobol -
Lugano -
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Dukagjini -
NSI Runavik 3
Hamrun 2
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Koper -
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Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Quarter-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
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Borac Banja Luka 6
Petrocub Hincesti 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Sutjeska 1
Shamrock Rovers -
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KuPS -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
Floriana 2
Drita 3
Flora 2
TNS 1
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Klaksvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar 4
Riga FC 8
Bissen 3
Gyor 7
Lincoln Red Imps -
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Larne -
HJK 8
Coleraine 0
Motherwell 5
HB Torshavn 0
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TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir 1
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz 6
Atletic Escaldes 0
Debrecen 1
Pyunik Yerevan 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
FC Copenhagen 5
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Zira FK 1
FC Santa Coloma 3
Rapid Vienna 9
Alashkert 1
CFR Cluj 4
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Dinamo Tbilisi 5
Zalgiris 7
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa 7
Valletta 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks 3
Panathinaikos 4
Spartak Trnava 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 4
Levadia 3
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Gent 1
Malisheva 3
Hibernian 4
Bravo 3
Shkendija Tetovo 4
PAOK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj 3
Brann 5
Dila Gori 0
Apollon Limassol 7
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4
Ludogorets 2
Zilina 3
GKS Katowice 4
Bohemians 5
FC Ballkani 4
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka 2
Derry City 0
Stjarnan 2
Ilves 3
Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin 3
Jablonec 4
RFS 5
Vestri 2
Valur 3
Zrinjski 2
GAIS 1
Nordsjaelland 6
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB 3
FK Auda Riga 7
Aluminij 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos -
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Noah 3
BATE 1
Sion 5
Vojvodina 2
Ajax 8
Shelbourne 6
Kalju 4
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0
Braga 5
Neftci Baku 3
Din. Minsk 4
AEK Larnaca 3
Beitar Jerusalem 4
FK Liepaja 1
Austria Vienna 5
Twente -
TBD -
Dun. Streda 4
Velez Mostar 0
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan 5
UNA Strassen 0
FK Panevezys 2
Tobol 3
Lugano 6
Dukagjini 1
NSI Runavik 4
Koper 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 3
ML Vitebsk 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KuPS -
Tre Fiori 1
Drita 9
Flora 0
Inter Escaldes 6
Klaksvik -
TBD -
Riga FC 2
Gyor 1
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
HJK 1
Motherwell 3
TBD -
Freiburg -
Gornik Zabrze -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Inter Turku 4
Vaduz 3
Debrecen 1
FC Copenhagen 8
Hearts -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Rapid Vienna 6
CFR Cluj 1
Tromso 7
TBD -
Brighton -
Zalgiris 2
Hajduk Split 9
Rakow Czestochowa 1
Hammarby 0
Panathinaikos 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
IFK Goteborg 1
Gent 2
Hibernian 2
Shkendija Tetovo 1
PAOK -
TBD -
Brann 4
Apollon Limassol 3
Atalanta -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 3
GKS Katowice 2
Bohemians 2
Midtjylland 5
Rijeka 2
Ilves 1
Rangers -
TBD -
Jablonec 4
RFS 1
Valur 0
Nordsjaelland 7
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
St. Gallen 8
FK Auda Riga 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
Pafos -
Noah 3
Sion 4
Ajax 5
Shelbourne 3
Braga 1
Din. Minsk 0
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Austria Vienna 4
Twente 9
Dun. Streda 3
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe -
TBD -
Partizan 5
Tobol 1
Lugano 4
NSI Runavik 2
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Borac Banja Luka 6
Shamrock Rovers 1
KuPS 2
Drita 2
Inter Escaldes 3
Klaksvik 1
Riga FC 2
Lincoln Red Imps 3
Larne 2
Motherwell 2
Freiburg 7
Gornik Zabrze 3
Monaco 7
Inter Turku 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Hearts 5
Rapid Vienna 4
Tromso 0
Brighton 4
Hajduk Split 5
Rakow Czestochowa 4
Panathinaikos 4
Hradec Kralove 3
Gent 3
Hibernian 2
PAOK 3
Brann 4
Atalanta 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0
Midtjylland 6
Rijeka 1
Rangers 1
Jablonec 2
Nordsjaelland 4
St. Gallen 2
Dinamo City 3
Pafos 5
Sion 5
Ajax 9
Braga 2
Austria Vienna 0
Twente 4
Qarabag Agdam 2
Getafe 4
Partizan 3
Lugano 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv 2