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HJK vs VPS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK Logo

HJK

Thu, Oct 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
VPS Logo

VPS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK host VPS in the Veikkausliiga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: HJK at 2.16 goals for, 1.1 against; VPS at 2.21 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor HJK slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.06) back HJK to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
HJK
20%
Draws
34%
VPS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: HJK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • HJK have won more games recently than VPS.
  • HJK are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
HJK Clean Sheet 20%
VPS Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK VPS
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.16 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs VPS
2:1
May 22, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs HJK
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs HJK
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Veikkausliiga
HJK vs VPS
3:1
Sep 20, 2024 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs HJK
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK 49 / 100
VPS 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

VPS let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: HJK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK VS VPS
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK

(Home)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
13 Sept
KuPS
0 : 0
HJK
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Ilves
1 : 2
HJK
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VPS

(Away)
19 Sept
VPS
0 : 2
KuPS
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 25 13 9 3 41:24 48
2 Inter Turku 25 13 9 3 32:18 48
3 HJK 25 12 6 7 39:29 42
4 Gnistan 25 11 8 6 40:32 41
5 VPS 25 10 6 9 30:25 36
6 AC Oulu 25 10 4 11 26:29 34
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)