Sport Picks

Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena

Match Events

46'

Sub

Mandelin A. In: Eranka S.

Out: Mandelin A.

59'

Hagstrom M.

(Penalty)

61'

Sub

Ylatalo I. In: Sarelius K.

Out: Ylatalo I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HJK W host Aland United W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aland United W have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while HJK W have conceded 0.75 and scored 4. Past meetings favor HJK W slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 2.81 vs 1.38, favoring HJK W. HJK W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

HJK W

Draws

Aland United W

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

HJK W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aland United W.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for HJK W.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Kansallinen Liiga Women provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

HJK W Clean Sheet 17%

Aland United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	HJK W	Aland United W
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	25	16
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	13
Goals Scored	4	2
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	4.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Aland United W vs HJK W

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Apr 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HJK W vs Aland United W

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

3:2

Oct 3, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

Aland United W vs HJK W

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Sep 21, 2025 Suomen Cup Women

HJK W vs Aland United W

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Sep 6, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women

HJK W vs Aland United W

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarelius K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Eranka S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.08

Avg xA / game 2

Aland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hagstrom M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 84 / 100

Aland United W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

HJK W Aland United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK W scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Aland United W let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

HJK W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aland United W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS Aland United W

4 Goals Scored 2

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 75%

88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	HJK W	11	10	0	1	33:9	30
2	KuPS W	11	8	1	2	27:14	25
3	HPS W	11	7	2	2	17:8	23
4	Aland United W	11	6	1	4	28:16	19
5	Ilves W	11	5	0	6	19:21	15
6	Gnistan W	11	4	0	7	19:28	12
7	PK-35 Vantaa W	11	2	0	9	11:29	6
8	VIFK Vaasa W	11	0	0	11	5:34	0