Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK W vs HPS W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK W Logo

HJK W

2 - 3
FT
HPS W Logo

HPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Stark T.
14' Event
Paakkari E.
35' Event
Jaaskelainen O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

HPS W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored HPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
HJK W
15%
Draws
53%
HPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HJK W lately — more wins on the board than HPS W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
HJK W Clean Sheet 15%
HPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK W HPS W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 18
Draws 1 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.63 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs HPS W
2:3
Sep 6, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:3
Aug 21, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
3:3
Jul 19, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs HPS W
4:0
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HPS W vs HJK W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Heroum N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holmstrom I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

HPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stark T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paakkari E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 35 / 100
HPS W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK W HPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: HPS W conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: HJK W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS HPS W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK W

(Home)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
30 Sept
Brann W
4 : 0
HJK W
26 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
23 Sept
HJK W
0 : 2
Brann W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 6

HPS W

(Away)
04 Oct
HJK W
2 : 3
HPS W
26 Sept
HPS W
1 : 0
Aland United W
19 Sept
KuPS W
0 : 0
HPS W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 22 18 1 3 62:21 55
2 Aland United W 22 14 1 7 56:30 43
3 KuPS W 22 13 3 6 43:29 42
4 HPS W 22 12 5 5 34:25 41
5 Ilves W 22 8 2 12 39:45 26
6 Gnistan W 22 5 1 16 29:56 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)