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Stadium Background

HJK W vs Ilves W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK W Logo

HJK W

2 - 1
FT
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Olmala A.
46'
Sub
Topra J. In: Eranka S.
Out: Topra J.
46'
Sub
Heroum N. In: Sarkki J.
Out: Heroum N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between HJK W and Ilves W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
HJK W
15%
Draws
0%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HJK W come out ahead of Ilves W on wins alone.
  • Model gives HJK W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HJK W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
HJK W Clean Sheet 68%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK W Ilves W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 24 13
Draws 1 1
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.96 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK W
2:5
Jun 27, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK W
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Ilves W
2:1
Jul 31, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs HJK W
1:2
May 12, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs Ilves W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bethea L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ylatalo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olmala A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 95 / 100
Ilves W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: HJK W scored in 96% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ilves W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ilves W let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS Ilves W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK W

(Home)
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
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Ilves W

(Away)
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
08 Aug
Aland United W
3 : 0
Ilves W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)