Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Mon, Aug 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HJK W host KuPS W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. KuPS W have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while HJK W have conceded 0.93 and scored 2.83. Head-to-head, HJK W have won 3 to KuPS W's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward HJK W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
HJK W
15%
Draws
17%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HJK W come out ahead of KuPS W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans HJK W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
HJK W Clean Sheet 20%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK W KuPS W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 25 17
Draws 2 3
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.83 2.23
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
0:1
Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
2:0
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
3:2
Aug 15, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 85 / 100
KuPS W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK W's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

KuPS W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

HJK W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS KuPS W
3 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK W

(Home)
12 Aug
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HJK W
08 Aug
PSV W
3 : 1
HJK W
05 Aug
Racing Luxembourg W
0 : 2
HJK W
25 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 2
HJK W
19 Jul
HJK W
4 : 0
HPS W
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KuPS W

(Away)
08 Aug
HPS W
3 : 2
KuPS W
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
KuPS W
1 : 3
Aland United W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
08 Jul
KuPS W
0 : 1
HJK W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 15 14 0 1 43:10 42
2 Aland United W 15 10 1 4 44:19 31
3 KuPS W 15 9 1 5 33:24 28
4 HPS W 15 8 3 4 22:17 27
5 Ilves W 15 7 1 7 27:29 22
6 Gnistan W 15 4 1 10 22:35 13
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)