Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kiviranta M.
Assist: Kamogawa M.
20'
Karvonen N.
24'
Lahikainen A.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between HJK W and KuPS W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
HJK W
6%
Draws
4%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: HJK W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HJK W come out ahead of KuPS W on wins alone.
  • HJK W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
HJK W Clean Sheet 19%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK W KuPS W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 25 19
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 3.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
0:1
Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
2:0
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
3:2
Aug 15, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiviranta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarelius K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

KuPS W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 85 / 100
KuPS W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK W KuPS W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HJK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK W scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

HJK W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: KuPS W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS KuPS W
3.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W12110134:933
2KuPS W1281329:1825
3HPS W1273218:924
4Aland United W1271432:1722
5Ilves W1260623:2318
6Gnistan W1240819:2912
7PK-35 Vantaa W12201012:336
8VIFK Vaasa W1201116:351