Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK W vs KuPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
HJK W Logo

HJK W

2 - 0
FT
KuPS W Logo

KuPS W

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kiviranta M.
Assist: Kamogawa M.
20'
Karvonen N.
24'
Lahikainen A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between HJK W and KuPS W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
HJK W
15%
Draws
46%
KuPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HJK W come out ahead of KuPS W on wins alone.
  • HJK W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
HJK W Clean Sheet 20%
KuPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK W KuPS W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 27 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.7 2.14
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
0:1
Jul 8, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
0:1
Jul 4, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
2:0
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
KuPS W vs HJK W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs KuPS W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiviranta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarelius K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

KuPS W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 42 / 100
KuPS W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK W KuPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK W scored in 97% of their last 33 games.

KuPS W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: HJK W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS KuPS W
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK W

(Home)
06 Sept
HPS W
1 : 3
HJK W
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
12 Aug
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HJK W
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KuPS W

(Away)
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
08 Aug
HPS W
3 : 2
KuPS W
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)