Sport Picks

Stadium Background

HJK W vs PK-35 Vantaa W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kamogawa M.
Assist: Holmstrom I.
28' Event
Holmstrom I.
Assist: Topra J.
33' Event
Holmstrom I.
Assist: Kamogawa M.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between HJK W and PK-35 Vantaa W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HJK W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
HJK W
20%
Draws
40%
PK-35 Vantaa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • PK-35 Vantaa W haven't matched HJK W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors HJK W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
HJK W Clean Sheet 20%
PK-35 Vantaa W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJK W PK-35 Vantaa W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 24 10
Draws 2 2
Losses 3 18
Goals Scored 2.69 2.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs HJK W
0:2
Jun 30, 2026 Suomen Cup Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs HJK W
1:4
May 23, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
5:0
Oct 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Vantaa W vs HJK W
1:2
Sep 10, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
HJK W vs PK-35 Vantaa W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJK W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holmstrom I.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kamogawa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

PK-35 Vantaa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJK W 32 / 100
PK-35 Vantaa W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJK W PK-35 Vantaa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PK-35 Vantaa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJK W found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: PK-35 Vantaa W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

HJK W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJK W VS PK-35 Vantaa W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

HJK W

(Home)
29 Aug
HJK W
2 : 1
Aland United W
21 Aug
HPS W
3 : 3
HJK W
17 Aug
HJK W
0 : 1
KuPS W
12 Aug
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HJK W
08 Aug
PSV W
3 : 1
HJK W
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PK-35 Vantaa W

(Away)
29 Aug
EBK W
2 : 2
PK-35 Vantaa W
23 Aug
Honka W
2 : 1
PK-35 Vantaa W
14 Aug
PK-35 Vantaa W
3 : 1
HJS W
09 Aug
JyPK W
1 : 6
PK-35 Vantaa W
25 Jul
PK-35 Vantaa W
0 : 2
HJK W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)