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HJS W vs TPS W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women Pullerin kenttä, Hämeenlinna
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Match Events

5' Event
Rantanen R.
35' Event
Leskela E.
75' Event
Vilen E.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Ykkonen Women game between HJS W and TPS W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TPS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
HJS W
15%
Draws
39%
TPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • HJS W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Kansallinen Ykkonen Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • TPS W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
HJS W Clean Sheet 10%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJS W TPS W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJS W vs TPS W
2:3
Apr 20, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs HJS W
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 Suomen Cup Women
HJS W vs TPS W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leskela E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vilen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rantanen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarnstrom M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJS W 34 / 100
TPS W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJS W TPS W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TPS W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TPS W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

HJS W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

HJS W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

HJS W VS TPS W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

HJS W

(Home)
26 Sept
HJS W
0 : 10
PK-35 Vantaa W
20 Sept
VIFK Vaasa W
3 : 4
HJS W
11 Sept
HJS W
1 : 0
EBK W
30 Aug
Honka W
1 : 3
HJS W
22 Aug
HJS W
6 : 1
JyPK W
Page 1 of 6

TPS W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
18 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
2 : 3
TPS W
12 Sept
TPS W
0 : 2
ONS Oulu W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EBK W 18 14 3 1 49:13 45
2 Honka W 18 10 4 4 27:13 34
3 HJS W 18 9 3 6 37:27 30
4 JyPK W 18 9 2 7 35:27 29
5 HJK Akatemia W 18 8 4 6 37:30 28
6 ONS Oulu W 18 7 4 7 24:22 25
7 Keski-Uusimaa W 18 6 2 10 30:38 20
8 TPS W 18 3 7 8 20:37 16
9 KTP W 18 5 0 13 21:50 15
10 Lahti W 18 3 3 12 23:46 12
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group)