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HJS W vs TPS W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women Pullerin kenttä
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HJS W play TPS W in the Kansallinen Ykkonen Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, HJS W averaged 1.59 goals scored and 2.59 conceded. TPS W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, HJS W won 1, TPS W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for HJS W and 1.50 for TPS W. This points to a HJS W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
HJS W
15%
Draws
37%
TPS W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HJS W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • HJS W picked up more points recently compared to TPS W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
HJS W Clean Sheet 16%
TPS W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HJS W TPS W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 1 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.59 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
HJS W vs TPS W
2:3
Apr 20, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
TPS W vs HJS W
0:1
Jun 19, 2024 Suomen Cup Women
HJS W vs TPS W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

HJS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leskela E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vilen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

TPS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rantanen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarnstrom M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HJS W 46 / 100
TPS W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HJS W TPS W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: HJS W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

HJS W attacking → ← attacking TPS W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HJS W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

TPS W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

HJS W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

TPS W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 28
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EBK W15122143:938
2Honka W1593326:1230
3HJK Akatemia W1582531:2126
4HJS W1581631:2425
5JyPK W1571730:2622
6ONS Oulu W1562721:2220
7Keski-Uusimaa W1560922:2918
8KTP W15501021:4515
9TPS W1525816:3411
10Lahti W15321022:4111