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HK U23 vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Eastern AA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
HK U23
15%
Draws
42%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HK U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastern AA come out ahead of HK U23 on wins alone.
  • Eastern AA are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Eastern AA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Eastern AA here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
HK U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric HK U23 Eastern AA
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.8 1.71
Goals Conceded 3.03 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
HK U23 vs Eastern AA
0:6
Jan 21, 2024 Sapling Cup
HK U23 vs Eastern AA
1:2
Dec 3, 2023 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs HK U23
2:2
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Eastern AA vs HK U23
3:0
Feb 19, 2023 Premier League
Eastern AA vs HK U23
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

HK U23 10 / 100
Eastern AA 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
HK U23 Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern AA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Eastern AA let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Eastern AA lost 4 of their last 5 games.

HK U23 found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern AA
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

HK U23

(Home)
26 May
HK U23
2 : 4
Tai Po
19 May
North District
0 : 1
HK U23
05 May
Hong Kong Rangers
5 : 0
HK U23
28 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Kitchee
21 Apr
HK U23
0 : 6
Eastern AA
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Eastern AA

(Away)
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 8 6 1 1 25:8 19
2 Lee Man Warriors 8 5 2 1 18:10 17
3 Tai Po 8 3 0 5 14:14 9
4 Hong Kong FC 8 2 1 5 14:18 7
5 Sham Shui Po 8 1 2 5 6:27 5
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eastern AA 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
2 Hong Kong Rangers 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
3 Kitchee 8 5 1 2 24:7 16
4 HK U23 8 1 1 6 4:14 4
5 Resources Capital 8 0 2 6 9:29 2
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2022/2023 (Play Offs)